Abb Limit Switches

Query Corner - Siemens on course to life-time high

I bought Aditya Birla Nuvo at Rs 980. What is your opinion on the future of this stock?

SL Khendry

Aditya Birla Nuvo (Rs 915.9): This stock is known to provide breathtaking moments for investors, both the pleasant and unpleasant type. It has doubled in value between August 2007 and January 2008, only to erode its price 86 percent in the accident that followed. The recovery in 2009 to Rs 1050 decree and the stock is currently biding his time in a wide trading range between Rs 700 and Rs 1000.

This seems to be a basic building effort that can be followed by a move above Rs 1165, Rs 1420 or Rs 1670 for the long term. However, it is difficult to envisage a transition to life of the stock high of Rs 2500 in the next two years at least. Sometimes it is more than a decade before these peaks, recorded in the bull market frenzy, are revisited.

In the medium term support for the stock are at Rs 700 and Rs 600. Investors can hold the stock until it trades above the second support.Since the stock has strong resistance at Rs 1000 and Rs 1160, then to investors in the short to medium term perspective can divest their holding if the stock shows reluctance to go beyond these levels.

Please give me advice on ABB and Siemens.

Murali

ABB (Rs 882.2): ABB peaked well before the rest of the other in November 2007 at the peak of Rs 1670. The height of this crash resulted in the stock losing 80 percent of its value. Although he recovered from the dregs from the bottom of bear market, it remains in a lower structural trend.The stock has key long-term resistance zone between Rs 850 and Rs 900 and is unable to move past it, despite repeated attempts since January 2010.

Strong weekly close above this level can take the stock of Rs 1015 or Rs 1170. Long-term view on the stock will turn positive if the stock gets to spend over Rs 1170. The stock could, however, find it difficult to do over the next 12 months.

Supports for the coming months are Rs 750 and Rs 600. Investors can hold the stock as it holds above the second support.

Siemens (Rs 931.8): This stock is on a roll in 2011 despite turbulence in the broader market. Siemens was up 13 percent since the beginning of this year and at a high level of 3 years. It seems to be on the path of the previous lifetime high of Rs 1125 recorded in November 2007. There may be some resistance in the zone between Rs 1050 and Rs 1125 and the stock could spend some time struggling to pass over.

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